Environment, Mood Disorders and Suicide by Teodor T. Postolache
By Teodor T. Postolache
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Table 5. AIC fit statistics for each individual, for all seven models. The best–fitting model within individual is shown in the final column, and the mean and median result within model are shown in the last two rows. 763 Best Model D D G E F E A D F F F F B F – – All seven models were then fit to each individual’s data. The AIC fit statistics for each of these models, for each individual, are summarized in Table 5. The last column in this table identifies the best–fitting model based on AIC, while the last two rows show mean and median AIC values within each model.
This indication of potential nonstationarity in the parameters of the model needs to be further explored. The model presented here has parameters that are fixed over time within subjects. Our analyses suggest that a better model would estimate the direct effect of weather on regulation using time–varying coefficients. There are many possible explanations for an association between weather and regulation of mood. For instance, in better weather people may be more likely to spend time outdoors. This may result in increased activity and exercise.
30] P. Linkowski, F. Martin, and V. De Maertelaer. Effect of some climatic factors on violent and non–violent suicides in belgium. Journal of Affective Disorders , 25(3):161– 166, 1992.  E. Souetre, T. A. Wehr, P. Douillet, and G. Darcourt. Influence of environmental factors on suicidal behavior. Psychiatry Research, 32(3):253–263, 1990.  P. D’Hondt, M. Maes, J. Leysen, R. Gommeren, L. Heylen, F. DeMeyer, S. Scharp, D. Peeters, and R. Desnyder. Seasonal variation in platelet [3H] paroxetine binding in healthy volunteers.